9th April, 2026
In this edition of AEF’s news update we will take you through the reporting trends that have been developing in the last few months, including a back and forth over the state of the aviation industry’s environmental commitments.
Plain Sailing?
‘This is real progress, not a future promise’
The aviation industry has generally been confident about meeting sustainability targets through the backing of a whole host of tech and efficiency measures. The above quote from Matt Gorman (director of carbon strategy at Heathrow), about ‘Sustainable Aviation Fuel’ or SAF sits firmly within this optimistic outlook alongside these other pieces:
These have been matched by a string of positively reported developments relating to fuels, including new plans for a £600 million SAF plant in Humberside. See also:
This consistent hopeful framing alongside a habit of highlighting progress at any opportunity has perhaps been designed to make it look like cleaning up aviation is almost inevitable, with an air of confidence in the delivery of cuts to emissions, noise and air pollution. This is despite overwhelming evidence that environmental problems are deepening, with growth of the industry showing no sign of slowing down.
Global CO2 emissions from aviation, 1940 to 2019

Is the industry front starting to crack?
‘How politicians and passengers gave up on green air travel’
The unity of the sector across their environmental claims has worked to great effect in the past (e.g. see: Are technology myths stalling aviation climate policy?). However, as pressure to act grows, an increasingly divided approach has appeared in the media over the last few months, with ‘solutions’ being painted as too difficult and expensive to implement. Even SAF, despite being the least disruptive technology to the status quo, has begun to generate conflict both within the industry and between the sector and legislators. Several articles have been published questioning SAF supply, rules and sustainability claims:
Other pieces have covered issues with zero emission aircraft development, the challenges of contrail avoidance and called into question the ongoing push for airport expansion:
The last of these articles delves into the recommendations of the cross-party environmental audit committee (EAC) inquiry into airport expansion in the UK. The inquiry deemed current policies insufficient to deliver a reduction in carbon emissions from the aviation sector in line with carbon budgets. AEF provided written and oral evidence during the inquiry last year.
What about the UK Government?
Industry optimism has been matched by an apparently steadfast belief in the UK Government that a sector recognised as ‘hard to abate’ can keep growing whilst cutting carbon emissions. Before Christmas, the transport secretary, Heidi Alexander, announced the launch of the review of the Airport National Policy Statement, which provides a framework for expansion at Heathrow. The Government also indicated their support for Heathrow Airport’s proposal for a third runway (over a rival bid from Arora Group).
More recent news from the Government:
In other news..
While cracks in the aviation industry’s united front already seemed to be appearing, the current geopolitical context may bring these divisions to the surface even faster. There has been some suggestion that airlines will use this moment to push for rollbacks of environmental commitments and legislation as jet fuel prices rise. The SAF levy in Singapore has already been deferred for nine months in response to the disruption. Several outlets have begun speculating on what the ongoing crisis in the Middle East might mean for the sector and passengers in the longer term:
Other headlines have continued to cover developments at Heathrow alongside other policy updates in the UK and across Europe:
Further reading and new reports
CAA – New CAA data suggests 2026 will be another year of growth for the aviation sector
DfT – Exploring the effect of carbon labels on consumer flight choices
Dr Alan Whitehead – Independent Review of Greenhouse Gas Removals
InfluenceMap – Corporate Capture and the UN International Civil Aviation Organization
InfluenceMap – The Aviation Industry’s Playbook to Stall the EU ETS by Leveraging CORSIA
Safe Landing – ‘Creating the future of aviation’ Visioning Assembly
Sasha Coalition – Leading the race to zero carbon emission flight
Sasha Coalition – How is CORSIA delaying aviation decarbonisation?
Transport & Environment – CrOP30: Why burning food for land-hungry biofuels is fuelling the climate crisis
Transport & Environment – Here’s what Europeans from 7 countries think of rail booking processes
Transport & Environment – Aviation taxes, charges and fees have limited impact on passenger numbers
UKELA – International Legal Order: Help or Hindrance in Decarbonising Aviation?
And some quotes from academic papers:
‘70% of complaints fall outside the noise contours established by the airport’s Specific Noise Zoning Plan, highlighting significant regulatory limitations’
‘A decades-long trend of falling airfares is expected to reverse’
‘What, if anything, might make leisure-flying irreplaceably or uniquely valuable for would-be-travelers’
‘The findings reveal a novel theoretical mechanism, “future soothing”: projecting technological salvation into a perpetually deferred future to ease public concern and postpone regulation’‘
A majority of the global population prioritizes environmental protection over economic growth’